Cover Image for How Stock Market Fear Creates Opportunity for Rule #1 Investors

How Stock Market Fear Creates Opportunity for Rule #1 Investors

Phil Town
Phil Town

When your retirement savings are on the line, if you’re just starting out, or if you’ve been investing for a long time… you can be seriously impacted by stock market fear when making investment choices.

It’s a fact of life that people are emotional. And for good reason, they want to protect their nest egg.

But…

Emotional people don’t make the best investors. So, we need to figure out how to not let fear impact our investing.

In fact, fear is one of the primary drivers behind short-term volatility. This emotional response can cause investors to abandon long-term strategies in favor of impulsive decisions. As we know, it’s during these fearful moments that disciplined investors can separate themselves from the crowd — by focusing on buying wonderful businesses at attractive prices rather than reacting to temporary dips.

As Warren Buffett said,

“If you cannot control your emotions, you cannot control your money.”

Why is that? Because the market can make you CRAZY! That's why.

If you were to react to the market and all the fear everyone has when it drops, you’d end up with less than you started, every time. The stock market can up or down and isn’t a rational place all of the time because of fear!

A classic example of this was seen in early 2022 when inflation fears and interest rate hikes triggered sharp market corrections. Many investors panic-sold high-quality companies at a loss, only to see the market rebound months later. Those who stayed the course — or better yet, bought during the downturn — were rewarded.

The following are market scenarios that trigger the most fear in investors and what you can do as a Rule #1 investor to take advantage of the situation.



1. Fear-Driven Withdrawals: Why Panic Selling Hurts Long-Term Returns

People close to retirement are more sensitive to short-term dips in the market than those who have the time available to wait on the market to recover. There are 75 million baby boomers in the US and 50 million of them have money in the stock market.

If they all pull their money out because they fear big losses before they retire that they can’t recoup, then we see a big dip in the market.

This behavior is often referred to as “capitulation,” where a large group of investors give up on the market at the same time. This mass exodus creates excellent buying opportunities for Rule #1 investors who are prepared with watchlists of high-quality companies and the cash to invest when prices drop.

2. The Myth of Safe Havens: Fear Trades vs. Rule #1 Investing

When fear overtakes the market and stock prices begin to drop, many investors will shift their money into "safer" investments such as gold, and silver. This means that, in many cases, gold and silver tend to go up at times when the market is going down.

We call gold and silver, "Fear Trades."

Leave that sort of investing to the professionals. Be aware of the presence of these commodities, but don't get caught up in buying them when the market dips. Be ready to buy wonderful companies when the market drops. Don't jump into fear trades.

Instead of rushing to gold or silver, use this time to evaluate whether wonderful companies are trading below their intrinsic value. Tools like the Rule #1 Toolbox can help you determine a company’s margin of safety, allowing you to make rational decisions in emotional markets.

Market Crash Survival Guide

Discover how the proven Rule #1 strategy can help keep your money safe during the next market crash

3. The Chain Reaction of Market Fear: Spotting Opportunities Others Miss

Fear in the stock market is almost always a precursor to a bear market at best and a recession at worst. Fear tends to have a domino effect on the market.

As more and more people exit the market, it can create a chain reaction that drives the market down to extremely low valuations.

Understanding the VIX: The Market's Fear Gauge

The Volatility Index (VIX), often called the “fear index,” measures expected short-term market volatility. When the VIX spikes, it often signals heightened investor anxiety. Rule #1 investors can use this as an indicator to look for undervalued companies — while others run scared, you run your numbers.

Turning Fear into Fortune: The Rule #1 Investor's Approach

For those who are able to keep a level head and have time to wait on the market to recover again - as it always does - this can be a time of extraordinary opportunity.

At the beginning of a major decline, there are usually concrete reasons why people are concerned and stock prices are dropping. Before long, though, fear itself becomes the primary factor that drives the market down.

This means that the price of many great companies will be dramatically lowered for no other reason than the fact that people are afraid.

If you can push past your own fear and buy at a time when other people are selling, you can pick up a lot of great companies at rock-bottom prices.

With that said, it's still essential to invest your money in the right companies even at a time when lots of companies in the market are on sale relative to their value. Not all companies are able to survive a recession.

During a recession, be sure to only invest in strong, proven companies that you understand, that have the funds, a reliable business model, and management in place to survive the downturn and come out stronger than ever once the market begins to recover.

One powerful example of this is Apple during the 2008–2009 financial crisis. Despite the market collapse, Apple continued to innovate and emerged stronger, rewarding investors who stayed the course. Rule #1 investors look for companies with competitive advantages (“moats”), strong free cash flow, and low debt — especially during fearful times when others are selling.

Do you think we're headed for a crash? This Stock Market Crash Survival Guide will help you prepare for the next market crash and help you cash in when the market drops!

Attend a Rule #1 Workshop

Learn how to conduct research, choose the right companies for you, and determine the best time to buy.

**Editor’s Note (Updated April 2025): This article was originally published in 2019 and has been significantly updated in 2025 to reflect current examples and Rule #1 investing insights.